Understanding the Possibility of Avoiding Aging by 2040

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- Updated by Jody Mullis
Medically reviewed by Dr. Sidra Samad

  • Longevity escape velocity (LEV) might be achievable by the late 2030s.
  • With LEV, 40-year-olds today could stop dying from aging.
  • Hallmarks of aging are key targets for future therapies.
  • Combined treatments may yield significant lifespan extensions.
  • Measurement of biological age needs improvement for monitoring anti-aging gains.
  • Specific interventions remain underexplored but hold promising potential.
  • Investment and AI advancements boost optimism in aging research.

 

Why This Matters to Us

As longevity enthusiasts, studies like this reinforce our belief in a future where humans can live healthier and longer lives. Understanding the science behind extending lifespan helps us keep informed about groundbreaking developments, enhancing our ability to make lifestyle choices that might benefit us as these technologies become available.

The Detail

In an intriguing exploration of future possibilities, Aubrey de Grey, a renowned aging researcher, suggests that people currently aged 40 could have more than a 50% likelihood of not dying from aging-related causes. This prediction hinges on reaching what is known as "longevity escape velocity" (LEV) by the late 2030s. But what exactly is LEV? It's the point at which life-extending technologies advance at a rate that surpasses the speed of aging, effectively allowing us to outpace death from age-related issues.

De Grey's confidence stems from a belief in future therapies targeting the "hallmarks of aging"—scientifically identified processes and deteriorations in our bodies that accompany aging. By employing a strategy de Grey calls "divide and conquer," researchers aim to develop combined therapeutic approaches that address multiple aging mechanisms simultaneously. An example of this would be using senolytics—compounds designed to remove harmful, aging cells called senescent cells—alongside treatments targeting telomeres, the protective caps on chromosomes that shorten as we age.

However, accurately measuring progress in reversing biological age remains a challenge, requiring advancements beyond current tools like DNA modification assessments, strength tests, or cognitive examinations. These enhancements are crucial because they will help us evaluate the true benefits of anti-aging interventions.

Interestingly, while de Grey discusses the theoretical framework and potential of such treatments, he refrains from detailing specific breakthroughs. This could be due to commercial secrecy or ongoing developments not yet ready for public disclosure. Nevertheless, innovations such as lab-grown organs for transplants showcase the practical potential of these technologies not only to extend life but to drastically improve its quality.

Given these insights, de Grey's assertion might seem bold, yet it is underpinned by the growing investment in longevity research and the integration of artificial intelligence, which could accelerate scientific discoveries. To learn more about these emerging technologies, visit the LEV Foundation.